Archive
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Working Paper
Working PaperGood Policy or Good Luck? Why Inflation Fell Without a Recession
Sep 2024
A major factor in the decline of inflation is the simple fact that America’s workers were, in general, unable to raise their nominal wages in line with the rise in the cost of living
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Working Paper
Working PaperTrump versus Biden: The Macroeconomics of the Second Coming
May 2024
The current paper returns to the key questions of wages and incomes and how wealth effects cripple reliance on interest rates to control inflation.
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Working Paper
Working PaperTilting at Windmills: Bernanke and Blanchard’s Obsession with the Wage-Price Spiral
Apr 2024
How convincing is the model analysis by Bernanke and Blanchard? How empirically relevant are their mechanisms causing inflation – and how robust and plausible are their econometric findings?
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Working Paper
Working PaperThe Art of Paradigm Maintenance: How the ‘Science of Monetary Policy’ tries to deal with the inflation of 2021-2023
Oct 2023
The re-emergence of inflation threw the ‘science of monetary policy’ off the rails. Do the new tweaks to the theory work?
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Working Paper
Working PaperBetting on Black Gold: Oil Speculation and U.S. Inflation (2020-2022)
Jun 2023
Were the sharp increases in prices during 2020-2022 due to fundamental shifts in supply and demand or are they attributable to excessive market speculation?
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Working Paper
Working PaperMyth and Reality in the Great Inflation Debate: Supply Shocks and Wealth Effects in a Multipolar World Economy
Jan 2023
A critical reappraisal of the case in favor of monetary tightening pressed by inflation hawks is overdue.
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Working Paper
Working PaperInflation in the Time of Corona and War: The Plight of the Developing Economies
Nov 2022
Fears of ‘stagflation’ have come back to haunt macroeconomic policy makers all over the globe
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Working Paper
Working PaperInflation in the Time of Corona and War
Jun 2022
Are there alternative, less socially costly, ways to bring inflation down?
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Working Paper
Working PaperAsset Prices Under Knightian Uncertainty
Dec 2021
A tractable formalization of the Knightian uncertainty faced by an economist and market participants in an intertemporal asset-price model.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesThe Knightian Uncertainty Hypothesis: Unforeseeable Change and Muth’s Consistency Constraint in Modeling Aggregate Outcomes
Mar 2019
This paper introduces the Knightian Uncertainty Hypothesis (KUH), a new approach to macroeconomics and finance theory.
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Working Paper
Grantee paperMacroeconomic Policy in DSGE and Agent-Based Models
Jun 2012
The Great Recession seems to be a natural experiment for macroeconomics showing the inadequacy of the predominant theoretical framework — the New Neoclassical Synthesis — grounded on the DSGE model.
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Working Paper
Grantee paperThe Making of America’s Imbalances
Jun 2012
This paper tracks the development of sectoral saving and borrowing in the US economy over the past 50 years.