We support dynamic research that can help solve the great economic and social challenges of the 21st century. INET鈥檚 research is interdisciplinary, incorporating concepts from history, political science, and the humanities.
Working Papers
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Working Paper
Antitrust鈥檚 Normative Economic Theory Needs a Reboot
Dec 2024
Welfare economists and moral philosophers have shown that the Consumer Welfare Standard is biased in favor of wealthy individuals and corporations—the very powers the antitrust law is supposed to regulate.
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Working Paper
Hitler and the German Coal Industrialists: Passing the Keys to A Kingdom
Nov 2024
The history of the political relations between Hitler and the NSDAP leadership and the German “coal industrialists” from 1926 to 1933
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Woking Paper
Macroeconomic Modeling in the Anthropocene
Oct 2024
Why the E-DSGE Framework Is Not Fit for Purpose and What to Do 八卦爆料 It
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Working Paper
Concentrating Intelligence: Scaling and Market Structure in Artificial Intelligence
Oct 2024
The decisions we make now about the governance of AI will have profound implications for the future of our economy and society.
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Working Paper
Good Policy or Good Luck? Why Inflation Fell Without a Recession
Sep 2024
A major factor in the decline of inflation is the simple fact that America鈥檚 workers were, in general, unable to raise their nominal wages in line with the rise in the cost of living
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Working Paper
Setting Pharmaceutical Drug Prices: What the Medicare Negotiators Need to Know 八卦爆料 Innovation and Financialization
Sep 2024
Medicare negotiators need to have a deep understanding - both theoretical and empirical - of the learning processes involved in developing a drug to negotiate a price that is fair.
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Working Paper
Tesla as a Global Competitor: Strategic Control in the EV Transition
Sep 2024
As the 鈥淭echnoking鈥 of Tesla strategizes to maintain his control over the company鈥檚 decision-making, anyone concerned with the role that Tesla will play in the evolving EV transition should be asking how CEO Musk might use, or abuse, his powerful position.
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Working Paper
Scale and Scope in Early American Business History: The 鈥淔ortune 500鈥 of 1812
Aug 2024
By 1812 the U.S. already had more business corporations than any other country, and possibly more than all other countries put together, securing its role as the world鈥檚 first 鈥渃orporation nation.鈥
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Working Paper
Implications of the Inflation Reduction Act for the Biotechnology Industry
Jul 2024
Sensitivity of investment and valuation to drug price indices and market conditions
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Working Paper
The Diffusion of New Technologies
Jul 2024
The concentration of innovation in a handful of urban centers engenders large and persistent regional disparities in economic opportunity.
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Working Paper
Trump versus Biden: The Macroeconomics of the Second Coming
May 2024
The current paper returns to the key questions of wages and incomes and how wealth effects cripple reliance on interest rates to control inflation.
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Working Paper
Tilting at Windmills: Bernanke and Blanchard鈥檚 Obsession with the Wage-Price Spiral
Apr 2024
How convincing is the model analysis by Bernanke and Blanchard? How empirically relevant are their mechanisms causing inflation 鈥 and how robust and plausible are their econometric findings?
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Working Paper
Considering Returns on Federal Investment in the Negotiated 鈥淢aximum Fair Price鈥 of Drugs Under the Inflation Reduction Act: an Analysis
Mar 2024
The empirical analysis of public sector investments and the health value created by the drugs selected for Medicare price negotiations provides a cost basis for the assessment of the maximum fair price.
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Working Paper
Monetary Policy and Illiquidity
Jan 2024
It is not just all about banking system liquidity
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Working Paper
Bagehot鈥檚 Classical Money View: A Reconstruction
Jan 2024
Read in the context of his time, Bagehot’s book Lombard Street appears as an attempt above all to reveal the dynamic of globalization when global money was sterling.
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Working Paper
Labor Market Volatility and Worker Financial Wellbeing: An Occupational and Gender Perspective
Jan 2024
Research on labor market experience does not explain the link between the volatility low-wage workers encounter and their earnings and it leaves open numerous pressing questions, such as what, if anything, can be done to reduce racial and ethnic differences in economic well-being.
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Working Paper
Mapping Fragility 鈥 Functions of Wealth and Social Classes in US Household Finance
Jan 2024
Examining the crucial role of poverty and inequality in shaping household indebtedness.
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Working Paper
The Art of Paradigm Maintenance: How the 鈥楽cience of Monetary Policy鈥 tries to deal with the inflation of 2021-2023
Oct 2023
The re-emergence of inflation threw the 鈥榮cience of monetary policy鈥 off the rails. Do the new tweaks to the theory work?
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Working Paper
Precedents, Instruments and Targets that the Fed Has Used to Create and Support a Postcrisis Global Safety Net
Sep 2023
Creating the post-2008 global safety net for mega-banks
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Working Paper
The Horizontal Merger Efficiency Fallacy
Aug 2023
By permitting business definitions of 鈥渆fficiency鈥 to leak over into the antitrust lexicon, antitrust scholars have done a great disservice
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Working Paper
Why The Monetary Policy Framework in Advanced Countries Needs Fundamental Reform
Aug 2023
Monetary policy should be guided much more by financial sector developments and much less by near-term targets for inflation.
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Working Paper
Is 鈥淚nflation First鈥 Really 鈥淩entiers First鈥? The Taylor Rule and Rentier Income in Industrialized Countries
Jul 2023
Central banks strongly favored rentier incomes in their reaction functions
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Working Paper
Betting on Black Gold: Oil Speculation and U.S. Inflation (2020-2022)
Jun 2023
Were the sharp increases in prices during 2020-2022 due to fundamental shifts in supply and demand or are they attributable to excessive market speculation?
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Working Paper
The Wage Effect of Workplace Sexual Harassment: Evidence for Women in Europe
Jun 2023
Changes to deeply entrenched systems of unequal gender power dynamics, roles and relations, underpinned by patriarchal values, are part of an effective response to the prevention of sexual harassment and its economic consequences.
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Working Paper
The Anatomy of Cyber Risk
May 2023
Does cyber risk exposure, as opposed to actual incidents, affect firm outcomes?
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Working Paper
Where Does the Money Go? An Analysis of Revenues in the GB Power Sector During the Energy Crisis
May 2023
Revenues to GB electricity generators in 2022 increased by almost 拢30bn, compared to pre-COVID levels.
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Working Paper
The Perils of Antitrust Econometrics: Unrealistic Engel Curves, Inadequate Data, and Aggregation Bias
May 2023
Antitrust econometrics relies on often-implausible assumptions
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Working Paper
The Gift of Sanctions: An Analysis of Assessments of the Russian Economy, 2022 鈥 2023
Apr 2023
Despite the shock and the costs, the sanctions imposed on the Russian economy were in the nature of a gift.
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Working Paper
Current External Challenges to the Economic Expansion of Emerging Markets
Mar 2023
A Balance-of-Payments Constrained Growth Perspective
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Working Paper
The Pursuit of Shareholder Value: Cisco鈥檚 Transformation from Innovation to Financialization
Feb 2023
On the dereliction of key US-based business corporations to take the lead in making the investments in organizational learning required to generate cutting-edge communication-infrastructure products.
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Working Paper
Distributive Profiles Associated with Domestic Versus International Specialization in Global Value Chains
Feb 2023
If primary commodities and mid-to-high-tech manufacturing products are produced by industries with different wage shares, there are distributive implications of deepening trade integration with certain regions with respect to others.
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Working Paper
What Next for the Post Covid Global Economy: Could Negative Supply Shocks Disrupt Other Fragile Systems?
Jan 2023
The principal threat to economic stability currently is the overhang of debt, both private and public.
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Working Paper
Monopsony in Professional Labor Markets: Hospital System Concentration and Nurse Wages
Jan 2023
Increased hospital system consolidation in small Metropolitan Statistical Areas is adversely related to nurse wage growth.
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Working Paper
Exorbitant Privilege? On the Rise (and Rise) of the Global Dollar System
Jan 2023
Things are going to break and central banks are going to have to respond, but the mental frame that most people will be using is not well suited for understanding how the world now works
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Working Paper
Myth and Reality in the Great Inflation Debate: Supply Shocks and Wealth Effects in a Multipolar World Economy
Jan 2023
A critical reappraisal of the case in favor of monetary tightening pressed by inflation hawks is overdue.
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Working Paper
Why Economists Should Support Populist Antitrust Goals
Dec 2022
The Consumer Welfare Standard is severely limited or defective, preventing it from being an appropriate standard for modern antitrust.
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Working Paper
Muth鈥檚 Hypothesis Under Knightian Uncertainty
Dec 2022
A Novel Account of Inflation Forecasts
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Working Paper
Separating electricity from gas prices through Green Power Pools: Design options and evolution
Nov 2022
Moving away from fossil fuels, towards a system with a far greater contribution from variable renewables, means that the current system is not fit for purpose.
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Working Paper
Inflation in the Time of Corona and War: The Plight of the Developing Economies
Nov 2022
Fears of 鈥榮tagflation鈥 have come back to haunt macroeconomic policy makers all over the globe
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Working Paper Series
Navigating the Crises in European Energy
Sep 2022
Price Inflation, Marginal Cost Pricing, and Principles for Electricity Market Redesign in an Era of Low-Carbon Transition
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Working Paper Series
China鈥檚 Development Path: Government, Business, and Globalization in an Innovating Economy
Aug 2022
China鈥檚 successful technological development path stands in contrast to the corporate financialization model in the United States
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Working Paper Series
The Role of Public REITs in Financialization and Industry Restructuring
Jul 2022
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) are considered 鈥減assive鈥 investors and are exempt from corporate tax. But in reality, they play a very active role in reshaping whole industries, like healthcare.
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Working Paper Series
Monetary Policy for the Climate? A Money View Perspective on Green Central Banking
Jul 2022
Central banks can encourage climate-friendly investments by offering financial institutions favorable haircuts on green collateral
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Working Paper
Permanent Scars: The Effects of Wages on Productivity
Jul 2022
A persistent regime of low wages may determine very negative long-term consequences on the economy.
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Working Paper Series
Pari Passu Lost and Found: The Origins of Sovereign Bankruptcy 1798-1873
Jun 2022
Pari passu clauses were deliberately crafted to gain an upper hand in sovereign bankruptcy disputes brought to the London stock exchange鈥檚 jurisdiction
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Working Paper
Inflation in the Time of Corona and War
Jun 2022
Are there alternative, less socially costly, ways to bring inflation down?
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Working Paper
Setting the Record Straight on the Libertarian South African Economist W. H. Hutt and James M. Buchanan
Jun 2022
Despite his opposition to South Africa’s apartheid, Hutt embraced notions of black inferiority
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Working Paper Series
Government Deficits and Interest Rates: A Keynesian View
Apr 2022
Contrary to the neoclassical loanable funds theory, historical bond yields show Keynes was right that 鈥渃onvictions鈥 anchor long-term interest rates
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Working Paper
Investing in Innovation: A Policy Framework for Attaining Sustainable Prosperity in the United States
Apr 2022
Business firms are not alone in making investments in the productive capabilities required to generate innovative goods and services. Household units and government agencies also make investments in productive capabilities upon which business firms rely for their own investment activities.
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Working Paper Series
An Economic Defense of Multiple Antitrust Goals: Reversing Income Inequality and Promoting Political Democracy
Mar 2022
The Consumer Welfare Standard of antitrust is outdated and defective
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Working Paper Series
After the Allocation: What Role for the Special Drawing Rights System?
Mar 2022
How could the new SDR allocation help developing countries?
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Working Paper Series
Measuring the Impact of Campaign Finance on Congressional Voting: A Machine Learning Approach
Mar 2022
Using aggregate campaign finance data as well as a Transformer based text embedding model we can predict roll call votes for legislation in the US Congress with more than 90% accuracy.
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Working paper
Equality Denied: Tech and African Americans
Feb 2022
EEO-1 employment data document the vast over-representation of Asian Americans and vast under-representation of African Americans at tech companies in recent years. How did this happen?
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Working Paper Series
Pricing for Medicine Innovation: A Regulatory Approach to Support Drug Development and Patient Access
Feb 2022
US regulators can step in to ensure drug pricing both supports patient access and drug development
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Working Paper Series
Why Diagnostic Expectations Cannot Replace REH
Jan 2022
A formal argument that Kahneman and Tversky鈥檚 compelling empirical findings, and those of other behavioral economists, do not provide a basis for a general approach to specifying participants鈥 鈥減redictable errors.鈥
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Working Paper Series
Industrial Feudalism and Wealth Inequalities
Jan 2022
In a society where asset ownership is incredibly unequal, social mobility become severely diminished
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Working Paper Series
The Changing Shape of the World Automobile Industry: A Multilayer Network Analysis of International Trade in Components and Parts
Jan 2022
The pandemic and electrification are shaking the foundations of the auto industry
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Working Paper
Asset Prices Under Knightian Uncertainty
Dec 2021
A tractable formalization of the Knightian uncertainty faced by an economist and market participants in an intertemporal asset-price model.
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Working Paper Series
Can Panel Data Methodologies Determine the Impact of Climate Change on Economic Growth?
Dec 2021
Some cautionary remarks
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Working Paper Series
Central Banks Caught Between Market Liquidity and Fiscal Disciplining: A Money View Perspective on Collateral Policy
Dec 2021
By helping abate the liquidity crisis, incidences of banks becoming insolvent are reduced, and hence moral hazard in its severest form is minimized.
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Working Paper Series
The Knife Edge Election of 2020: American Politics Between Washington, Kabul, and Weimar
Nov 2021
Covid and BLM protests were key to Biden鈥檚 victory
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Working Paper Series
Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy*
Nov 2021
Swift reorganization or liquidation of insolvent businesses is the single best policy to deal with corporate debt booms.
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Working Paper Series
Mexico鈥檚 Automotive Industry: A Success Story?
Oct 2021
Between a rock and a hard place
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Working Paper Series
Ambivalence 八卦爆料 International Trade in Open- and Closed-ended Survey Responses
Oct 2021
Open-ended polling responses reveal considerably more complexity 鈥 and more ambivalence and negativity 鈥 in Americans鈥 views of international trade than has been inferred from widely cited closed questions
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Working Paper Series
Why do Sovereign Borrowers Post Collateral? Evidence from the 19th Century
Oct 2021
In the 19th Century, 鈥渉ypothecations鈥 provided investors with valuable information on sovereign fiscal resources
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Working Paper Series
Expectations Concordance and Stock Market Volatility: Knightian Uncertainty in the Year of the Pandemic
Oct 2021
Stock-Price Volatility During the Pandemic
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Working Paper Series
Why the CHIPS Are Down: Stock Buybacks and Subsidies in the U.S. Semiconductor Industry
Oct 2021
To strengthen the American semiconductor industry, Congress should condition additional funds on suspending stock buybacks
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Working Paper
Market Participants Neither Commit Predictable Errors nor Conform to REH
Sep 2021
Evidence from Survey Data of Inflation Forecasts
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Working Paper Series
How Milton Friedman Exploited White Supremacy to Privatize Education
Sep 2021
鈥淪chool choice鈥 aimed to block the choice of equal, integrated education for Black families
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Working Paper Series
Automotive Global Value Chains in Europe
Aug 2021
In Europe, imbalances in the structure of the automotive and a lack of industrial policies risk creating a deadly cocktail for millions of European workers just as the auto sector is undergoing decisive changes.
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Working Paper Series
Bagehot for Central Bankers
Jun 2021
Is Victorian writer Walter Bagehot, whose adage 鈥渓ending freely against good collateral at a penalty rate鈥 has been gospel for central bankers, still relevant in a post-Great Financial Crisis world?
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Working Paper
The Unmaking of the Black Blue-Collar Middle Class
May 2021
How once-promising Black upward mobility reversed course, and what can be done about it
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Working Paper Series
The Updated Okun Method for Estimation of Potential Output with Broad Measures of Labor Underutilization: An Empirical Analysis
May 2021
Despite fear-mongering about the latest Consumer Price Index, unemployment remains elevated and stimulus is needed to prevent a collapse in demand
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Working Paper Series
Country Risk
May 2021
Analyzing corporate conference calls reveals the way that countries perceive and spread risk through the global financial system
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Working Paper Series
On the Non-Inflationary Effects of Long-Term Unemployment Reductions
Apr 2021
Contrary to the New Keynesian paradigm, long-term unemployment can be reversed without a significant uptick in inflation
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Working Paper Series
US Employment Inequality in the Great Recession and the COVID-19 Pandemic
Apr 2021
Unlike the Great Recession, the pandemic has hit women workers harder than men, and disproportionately hurt the job prospects of lower education workers
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Working Paper Series
The Long Search for Stability: Financial Cooperation to Address Global Risks in the East Asian Region
Apr 2021
The People鈥檚 Bank of China鈥檚 network of local currency swap arrangements provide Asian countries with a much-needed safety net, while also strengthening China鈥檚 diplomatic position
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Working Paper Series
Mass Incarceration Retards Racial Integration
Apr 2021
Formerly incarcerated Black people emerge from prison with far less education and social skills than white ex-cons. And they have great trouble forming families or earning a good living.
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Working Paper Series
Lessons for the Age of Consequences: COVID-19 and the Macroeconomy
Mar 2021
Mortality and economic data show how constraints to government spending and a skepticism of redistributive policies have made the pandemic far worse
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Report
The Pandemic and the Economic Crisis: A Global Agenda for Urgent Action
Mar 2021
INET鈥檚 Commission on Global Economic Transformation - Interim Report on the Global Response to the Pandemic
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Working Paper Series
Cordon of Conformity: Why DSGE models Are Not the Future of Macroeconomics
Mar 2021
The New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) is a straightjacket for macroeconomics
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Working Paper Series
Masking Real Unemployment: The Overall and Racial Impact of Survey Non-Response on Measured Labor Market Outcomes
Mar 2021
A large and growing percentage of households are missed in the monthly Current Population Survey (CPS).
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Working Paper Series
The Erroneous Foundations of Law and Economics
Feb 2021
Conservative legal theory is based on a shoddy definition of what constitutes 鈥渆fficiency鈥
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Working Paper Series
Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development
Feb 2021
Labor-saving advances in AI may undo the gains from globalization and pose new challenges for economic development
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Working Paper Series
Inflation? It鈥檚 Import Prices and the Labor Share!
Jan 2021
Recognizing that inflation of the value of output and its costs of production must be equal, we focus on a cost-based macroeconomic structuralist approach in contrast to micro-oriented monetarist analysis.
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Working Paper Series
Local David Versus Global Goliath: Populist Parties and the Decline of Progressive Politics in Italy
Jan 2021
This paper analyzes the role of local spending, particularly on social welfare, and local inequality as factors in the Italian political crisis following the adoption in 2011 of more radical national austerity measures.
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Working Paper Series
Employment Mobility and the Belated Emergence of the Black Middle Class
Jan 2021
鈥淏uild back鈥 means restoring the government and business investments in the productive capabilities of the U.S. labor force that created a growing middle class in the three decades after World War II
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Working paper
Rethinking the Role of the Representativeness Heuristic in Macroeconomics and Finance Theory
Dec 2020
Even if psychological factors influence participants’ decision-making, as behavioral economists compellingly argue, incorporating such factors into economic theory would seem to require that market participants adhere to elementary logical rules.
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Working Paper Series
The Future of the Automotive Industry: Dangerous Challenges or New Life for a Saturated Market?
Dec 2020
How electric and self-driving cars could change the industry
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Working Paper Series
Carbon Pricing and the Elasticity of CO2 Emissions
Nov 2020
Carbon pricing still has the potential to be a powerful tool contributing to emissions reductions, but it is clearly no panacea.
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Working Paper Series
Predicting United States Policy Outcomes with Random Forests
Nov 2020
In this paper we analyze the Gilens dataset using the complementary tools of Random Forest classifiers (RFs), from Machine Learning.
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Working Paper Series
Shadow Lobbyists
Oct 2020
Unregistered lobbyists, including former members of Congress, are a key resource for lobbying firms
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Working Paper Series
Unemployment and Income Distribution: Some Extensions of Shaikh鈥檚 Analysis
Sep 2020
Our findings confirm the existence of a negative relationship between labor market slack and the wage share, and we find no tendency to return to a 鈥榥ormal鈥 unemployment rate associated with a stable wage share.
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Working Paper Series
Masters of Illusion: Bank and Regulatory Accounting for Losses in Distressed Banks
Sep 2020
The study seeks to explain why the instruments of central banking inevitably break down over time.
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Working Paper Series
Voting Rights, Deindustrialization, and Republican Ascendancy in the South
Sep 2020
How NAFTA led to GOP dominance of the American South
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Working Paper Series
Government as the First Investor in Biopharmaceutical Innovation: Evidence From New Drug Approvals 2010鈥2019
Sep 2020
Amid debates over costs—and profits—from a coronavirus vaccine, a new study shows that taxpayers have been footing the bill for every new drug approved between 2010 and 2019
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Working Paper Series
Spilt Milk: COVID-19 and the Dangers of Dairy Industry Consolidation
Aug 2020
Consolidation in the dairy industry has created separate, inflexible supply chains for consumers and commercial markets. When COVID killed commercial demand, perfectly good milk and cheese was wasted.
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Working Paper
Germany and China Have Savings Gluts, the USA Is a Sump: So What?
Aug 2020
An alternative look at the “global savings glut”
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Working Paper Series
International Financial Regulation: Why It Still Falls Short
Aug 2020
Despite post-2008 regulations, the boom-bust credit cycle continues to run wild
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Working Paper
How 鈥淢aximizing Shareholder Value鈥 Minimized the Strategic National Stockpile: The $5.3 Trillion Question for Pandemic Preparedness Raised by the Ventilator Fiasco
Jul 2020
The success of projects for pandemic preparedness and response depends on the strength of government-business collaborations.